MEXICO CITY.—The National Weather Serviceof the National Water Commissionissued the notice of its weather forecastfrom 06:00 a.m. on Wednesday, November 5, 2025.
For today, the front number 12will extend over Quintana Roo and the northwest of the Caribbean Sea, will interact with the onda tropical number 40which will move over the Yucatan Peninsulaand with a cyclonic circulation at mid-levels of the atmospherecausing very strong occasional rains with electric shocks in Campeche, Yucatán and Quintana Roo; strong points in Tabasco, Chiapas, Veracruz and Oaxaca; intervals of showers in Veracruz and Puebla; as well as isolated rains in Veracruz and Puebla.
It is predicted that at the end of the day, the cold front number 12 dissipates over the Caribbean Sea. The cold air mass associated with cold front number 12 will modify its thermal characteristics.
With the #VideoForecast of the #SMNmxknow the weather conditions that will prevail today, in the Mexican Republic ⬇️ pic.twitter.com/u1UXxHNkRI
— CONAGUA Clima (@conagua_clima) November 5, 2025
He “Mérida” Regional Hydrometeorological Centerof the National Weather Servicereleased its report on the weather forecastvalid from 06:00 a.m. on Wednesday the 5th to 06:00 a.m. on Thursday, November 6, 2025.
In the next 24 hours, in Yucatan is expected partly cloudy to cloudy skywith probability intervals of showers with heavy to very heavy rain mainly over the south, center and northwest of the state. Warm to hot environment during the day and warm at night.
It is expected that due to the interaction of front system number 12 with the tropical wave number 40will maintain conditions of partly cloudy to cloudy skywith the probability of heavy to very heavy rains in Quintana Roo and Yucatán, as well as heavy rains in Campeche. The atmosphere will be warm to hot in the afternoon and warm at night. Wind from the east and northeast at 15 to 20 km/h and gusts greater than 35 km/h in coastal areas.
Weather in Merida
The temperature forecast for the city of Mérida is in the range of 31 to 33 °C as a maximum and 19 to 21 °C as a minimum. For the interior of the state, the maximum will be 30 to 32 °C in the North-Central and northeast, minimum 18 to 20 °C in the south.
Current temperature of Merida
At 7:00 in the morning this Wednesday, the temperature in Mérida was 24 °Celsius, with humidity of 88% and a wind of 6 km/h.
The state coordination of Civil defense (Procivy), reported that, for this Wednesday, November 5, due to the advance of tropical wave number 40 and its interaction with a trough and upper atmospheric instability, moderate and strong rain will be recorded, accompanied by gusts of wind and electrical activity during the morning in municipalities in the southeast of Yucatán; while in the rest of the state it will be registered after 2:00 p.m.
The maximum expected temperature will range between 27° and 36°C in the interior of the state and from 26° to 28°C in the coastal area.
In his social network account “X”, formerly Twitter, Juan Antonio Palma Solísmeteorologist at the meteorological agency Meteored Méxicoannounced that the rain storm will intensify from this Wednesday.
He pointed out that this morning there was an increase in cloudiness and rain in Quintana Roo.
He also explained that meteorological stations in the area recorded between 5 and 25 mm of accumulated precipitation in the early hours of the day in the area of Playa del Carmen, Puerto Morelos and Cancún.
Palma Solís added that the humidity associated with tropical wave number 40, a trough extended from Central America to the region and what remains of frontal system 12, which he called “Chaká”, in combination with instability at altitude, will increase the potential for storms in several areas of the Yucatan Peninsula.
CDMX Climate
The National Meteorological Service (SMN), in its general forecast, foresees for the Valley of Mexico: In the morning, fog banks in areas of the State of Mexico and Mexico City; cold environment in most of the region, with temperatures of 0 to 5 °C and possible frost in high areas. During the afternoon, mild to warm atmosphere, partially cloudy skies and no rain in Mexico City and the State of Mexico. The minimum temperature in Mexico City will be 6 to 8 °C and the maximum 23 to 25 °C. For Toluca, Edo. Mex., minimum temperature of 2 to 4 °C and maximum of 20 to 22 °C is expected. Wind from the north and northeast of 10 to 20 km/h in the region, with gusts of 40 km/h in areas of Mexico City and the State of Mexico.
How will the weather be?
The SMN, in its forecast by region, anticipated for the Gulf of Mexico: Partly cloudy to cloudy skies, without rain in Tamaulipas. In the morning, cool to temperate atmosphere, being cold with possible frost in the mountainous area of Veracruz. During the afternoon, warm atmosphere, being temperate in the mountainous area of Veracruz; heavy occasional rains in Veracruz (Olmeca region) and Tabasco (north, center and west), which could cause an increase in the levels of rivers and streams, landslides, flooding, flooding and reduced visibility.; Likewise, showers are expected in Veracruz (Las Montañas, Papaloapan and Los Tuxtlas regions), and isolated rains in Veracruz (Capital region). North component wind of 10 to 20 km/h in the region, with gusts of 35 km/h in the region.
While, for the Yucatan Peninsula forecast: During the day, partly cloudy to cloudy skies. In the morning temperate to warm atmosphere. During the afternoon hot atmosphere; very strong occasional rains and electric shocks in Campeche (east), Yucatán (north, center and south) and Quintana Roo (north and center); These rains could cause local flooding, flooding and reduced visibility.. Wind from the east and northeast of 10 to 20 km/h on the peninsula, with gusts of 35 km/h in the region.