WASHINGTON / LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – The release of the latest US national security strategy under President Trump has caused turmoil in the Bitcoin market. Analysts warn of a possible crypto winter as the strategy could increase NATO members’ defense spending, making it difficult for central banks to cut interest rates.
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The release of the latest US national security strategy under President Donald Trump has caused significant turmoil in the Bitcoin market. The strategy calls for NATO members to increase their defense spending from 2% to 5% of GDP. This demand could force central banks to delay their interest rate cuts, which could have a negative impact on the Bitcoin price.
Analysts warn that increasing defense spending could lead to higher inflation as governments would be forced to borrow more. This could prompt central banks to delay interest rate cuts to control inflation. Typically, lower interest rates lead investors to invest in riskier assets such as cryptocurrencies, which causes the Bitcoin price to rise.
Although the market continues to expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at its December meeting, the release of the security strategy has increased uncertainty in the markets. The Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s FedWatch tool puts the probability of a rate cut at 86%, while a Reuters poll of 100 economists shows the majority support a rate cut.
In addition to the economic uncertainties, there are concerns about cryptocurrency regulation in the US. Progress in passing crypto laws has slowed and there are concerns that some regulatory progress could be reversed before the 2026 elections. These uncertainties add to the anxiety in the market and could put further pressure on the Bitcoin price.
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