Tropical storm “Sonia” would arrive soon and, for now, the low pressure area that precedes it is moving slowly across the Pacific Ocean; according to the forecast of the National Meteorological Service (SMN), official climate source of the Government of Mexico.
This morning of Thursday, October 16, the National Water Commission (Conagua) reported that it is monitoring an area with cyclonic potential:
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Low pressure area south of Oaxaca, increases its probability of cyclonic development to 50% in 48 hours and maintains 60% in 7 days. It is located approximately 405 kilometers south of Puerto Ángel, Oaxaca.
It is expected to evolve into a tropical cyclone at the end of this week.
Consultation: States in Mexico with heavy rains today due to possible cyclone
If its evolution continues, this phenomenon would give shape to the storm “Sonia”..
SPECIAL / Conagua
Weather from Friday the 17th to Sunday the 19th of October 2025
An area of low pressure with a probability of cyclonic development will slowly move south of the coasts of Oaxaca, Guerrero and Michoacán, generating heavy to very heavy rains in the southeast, south and west of Mexico, with intense occasional events in Guerrero, Oaxaca and Chiapas.in addition to high waves on the coasts of said states.
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Cold front no. 7 will travel through the north and northeast of the country in interaction with a trough at medium and high levels of the atmosphere and the subtropical jet stream, causing a drop in temperature, strong gusts of wind, rains and showers in these regions. It is expected that during the day Monday the front will move towards the Gulf of Mexico, ceasing to affect Mexican territory..
Low pressure channels, the entry of humidity from the Pacific Ocean, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea and atmospheric instability will cause showers and heavy rains in the center and east of the Mexican Republic, in addition to the Yucatan Peninsula.
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With information from the National Meteorological Service
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