LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – Bitcoin is under significant pressure as the US Federal Reserve continues its restrictive monetary policy. The current price of around $86,400 is showing a slight recovery but remains well below the yearly high of $126,198. Technical indicators point to an oversold situation as institutional investors cautiously re-enter the market.
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Bitcoin is currently going through a period of significant uncertainty as the price hovers around $86,400. This development follows a decline to a session low of $84,679, marking a slight rebound from a previous close of $86,523.95. Despite this short-term recovery, Bitcoin remains well below its annual high of $126,198 and is holding just above the $74,436 support reached in early 2025. The market capitalization is around $1.72 trillion while the daily trading volume is over $45 billion, indicating high liquidity despite dominant volatility.
Technically, the current formation shows signs of exhaustion after months of selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 25.47 signals oversold conditions, suggesting that downward pressure may be overextended. The MACD value of -5,585.04 highlights the ongoing bearish bias, while the ADX at 46 indicates that the prevailing downtrend is firmly established. Short-term moving averages, including the 10-day EMA at around $90,000, continue to act as resistance, while the 200-day SMA at around $110,210 defines the long-term ceiling.
The macroeconomic environment, particularly the monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve, significantly influences the Bitcoin market. The delay in key economic reports, including retail sales and PCE inflation, has left traders in a period of uncertainty. Market opinion suggests that interest rate cuts will not occur until 2026, increasing pressure on Bitcoin as a non-interest bearing asset. Rising real yield and a strong dollar index at around 100.11 are further weighing on Bitcoin’s appeal.
Institutional investors show a mixed picture. While some Bitcoin ETFs such as Fidelity’s FBTC and Grayscale’s Mini Trust are seeing inflows, the BlackRock IBIT ETF has seen significant outflows. Overall, however, major investor interest remains as they test potential re-entry points without fully committing. Blockchain data shows that accumulation is resuming in the $83,000-$85,000 range as long-term holders reduce their distribution.
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