WASHINGTON / LONDON (IT BOLTWISE) – The discussion about the effectiveness of US missile defense systems has gained momentum with the new film by Kathryn Bigelow, ‘A House of Dynamite’. The film shows a fictional situation in which the defense systems fail, which calls into question the credibility of the Pentagon’s official information. Experts doubt the claimed 100 percent success rate of the defense systems and point out the complexity of the technology.
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The portrayal of U.S. missile defenses in Kathryn Bigelow’s new film ‘A House of Dynamite’ has sparked a heated debate about the actual capabilities of these systems. In the film, the ground-based interceptor missiles (GBIs) fail in their attempt to repel an enemy missile attack. This portrayal has angered the Pentagon because it contradicts official figures that claim a 100 percent success rate in tests.
The Pentagon’s Missile Defense Agency (MDA) emphasized in an internal memo that the 61 percent success rate shown in the film was outdated and based on older prototypes. The MDA argues that the current systems have achieved a 100 percent hit rate in testing over the past decade. However, this claim is questioned by experts such as Joe Cirincione, a well-known arms control analyst. He points out that the MDA only takes into account the results of the last four tests carried out since 2014.
A closer look at the tests shows that only two of them were conducted against targets similar to intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), while the other two were against simpler, medium-range missile-like targets. These tests took place under highly controlled conditions where the time and location of the launch were already known. Such ‘strapped down chicken tests’ provide little information about the actual performance of the systems in a real threat situation.
The discussion about the effectiveness of missile defense systems is reinforced by political and financial interests. The MDA could seek to secure the Trump administration’s support for the so-called ‘Golden Dome’ project, which promises comprehensive defense against all air and missile threats. However, experts are skeptical about whether such a system will ever be feasible because it reaches the limits of current technology.
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